FMEP

Football micro-event forecasts

Ranked by how far each forecast departs from what that league usually does, which is where the model's skill showed up in testing. Not by how confident it looks.

Sun, Nov 1, 01:30 PMBundesliga, Austria
Salzburg v Austria Lustenau
under24.5
Model89%
Usual51%
Expected18.7
Wed, Oct 28, 07:00 PMSerie B, Italy
Carrarese v Arezzo
under24.5
Model59%
Usual22%
Expected23.5
Sat, Oct 31, 07:45 PMSerie A, Italy
AC Milan v Inter
under24.5
Model79%
Usual46%
Expected20.6
Sun, Nov 1, 07:45 PMSerie A, Italy
Juventus v Napoli
under24.5
Model79%
Usual46%
Expected20.6
Sun, Nov 1, 03:30 PMPrimeira Liga, Portugal
Arouca v Nacional
under24.5
Model58%
Usual26%
Expected23.7
Wed, Oct 28, 07:45 PMSerie A, Italy
Monza v Napoli
under24.5
Model71%
Usual46%
Expected21.7
Sat, Oct 31, 04:15 PMSerie B, Italy
Catanzaro v Calcio Padova
under24.5
Model45%
Usual22%
Expected25.5
Sat, Oct 31, 05:30 PMBundesliga, Germany
Bayern Munich v Dortmund
under24.5
Model86%
Usual64%
Expected19.3
Sun, Nov 1, 02:00 PMSerie A, Italy
Lazio v Cagliari
under24.5
Model68%
Usual46%
Expected22.3
Wed, Oct 28, 05:30 PMSerie A, Italy
Venezia v Inter
under24.5
Model68%
Usual46%
Expected22.3
Sat, Oct 31, 04:00 PMBundesliga, Austria
Rheindorf Altach v Ried
under24.5
Model72%
Usual51%
Expected21.6
Sun, Nov 1, 05:00 PMSuper League 1, Greece
PAOK v Asteras Tripolis
under24.5
Model40%
Usual19%
Expected26.2
Sat, Oct 31, 05:00 PMSerie A, Italy
Udinese v AS Roma
under24.5
Model66%
Usual46%
Expected22.5
Sun, Nov 1, 04:00 PMLa Liga, Spain
Levante v Atl. Madrid
under24.5
Model63%
Usual43%
Expected22.9
Sun, Nov 1, 04:00 PMLa Liga, Spain
Ath Bilbao v Real Sociedad
under24.5
Model63%
Usual43%
Expected23.0
Wed, Oct 28, 05:30 PMSerie A, Italy
Parma v Udinese
under24.5
Model65%
Usual46%
Expected22.6
Sun, Nov 1, 04:00 PMLa Liga, Spain
Villarreal v Espanyol
under24.5
Model62%
Usual43%
Expected23.1
Sat, Oct 31, 02:00 PMSerie B, Italy
Südtirol v Cesena
under24.5
Model40%
Usual22%
Expected26.2
Sat, Oct 31, 07:30 PM2. Bundesliga, Germany
Karlsruher SC v Heidenheim
under24.5
Model74%
Usual56%
Expected21.4
Sun, Nov 1, 01:30 PMEredivisie, Netherlands
Telstar v Utrecht
over24.5
Model41%
Usual23%
Expected23.5
Sun, Nov 1, 06:00 PMPrimeira Liga, Portugal
Academico Viseu v Rio Ave
under24.5
Model44%
Usual26%
Expected25.6
Sun, Nov 1, 04:00 PMLa Liga, Spain
Dep. A Coruna v Osasuna
under24.5
Model61%
Usual43%
Expected23.3
Sun, Nov 1, 04:00 PMLa Liga, Spain
Betis v Malaga
under24.5
Model60%
Usual43%
Expected23.3
Sun, Nov 1, 04:15 PMLigue 1, France
Paris FC v Monaco
under24.5
Model68%
Usual51%
Expected22.2
Sun, Nov 1, 04:00 PMBundesliga, Austria
Austria Wien v Rapid Wien
under24.5
Model68%
Usual51%
Expected22.2